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Retail Sales (MoM)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

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Most recent - Wednesday 16 September 2026 12:30

-0.5%

Revised

-0.5%

Forecast

0.8%

Actual

1.2%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was 1.2% against a forecast of 0.8%.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

Wednesday 16 September 2026 12:30

0.8%

1.2%

Friday 14 August 2026 12:30

0.1%

-0.6%

Thursday 16 July 2026 12:30

0.2%

Wednesday 17 June 2026 12:30

0.5%

0.9%

Thursday 14 May 2026 12:30

0.5%

Tuesday 21 April 2026 12:30

1.4%

1.7%

Wednesday 1 April 2026 12:30

0.5%

0.6%

Tuesday 17 March 2026 12:30

Friday 6 March 2026 13:30

-0.3%

-0.2%

Tuesday 10 February 2026 13:30

0.4%

Wednesday 14 January 2026 13:30

0.4%

0.6%

Tuesday 16 December 2025 13:30

0.1%

Tuesday 25 November 2025 13:30

0.4%

0.2%

Friday 14 November 2025 13:30

0.4%

Thursday 16 October 2025 12:30

0.4%

Tuesday 16 September 2025 12:30

0.2%

0.6%

Friday 15 August 2025 12:30

0.5%

Thursday 17 July 2025 12:30

0.1%

0.6%

Tuesday 17 June 2025 12:30

-0.7%

-0.9%

Thursday 15 May 2025 12:30

0.1%

Wednesday 16 April 2025 12:30

1.3%

1.4%

Monday 17 March 2025 12:30

0.7%

0.2%

Friday 14 February 2025 13:30

-0.1%

-0.9%

Thursday 16 January 2025 13:30

0.6%

0.4%

Tuesday 17 December 2024 13:30

0.5%

0.7%

Friday 15 November 2024 13:30

0.3%

0.4%

Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30

0.3%

0.4%

Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30

-0.2%

0.1%

Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30

0.3%

Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30

Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30

0.2%

0.1%

Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30

0.4%

Monday 15 April 2024 12:30

0.3%

0.7%

Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30

0.8%

0.6%

Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30

-0.1%

-0.8%

Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30

0.4%

0.6%

Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30

-0.1%

0.3%

Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30

-0.3%

-0.1%

Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30

0.3%

0.7%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

		Previous	Latest
Pending Home Sales (MoM)	Bullish change	-2.6%	0.3%
Building Permits (MoM)	Bearish change	1.433M	1.394M
Housing Starts (MoM)	Bearish change	1.309M	1.275M
Initial Jobless Claims	Bullish change	206K	196K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey	Bearish change	47.4	37.8
Fed Interest Rate Decision	Bullish change	3.75%	4%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st year	Bullish change	3.6%	4.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd year	Bullish change	3.4%	3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd year	Bullish change	3.1%	3.6%
Interest Rate Projections - Current	Bullish change	3.8%	4.1%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer	Bullish change	3.1%	3.2%
Retail Sales Control Group	Bullish change	-0.4%	1.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)	Bullish change	-0.2%	1.4%
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index	Bearish change	20.6	7.6
ADP Employment Change 4-week average	Bullish change	12.25K	16.25K
Monthly Budget Statement	Bullish change	$-432B	$-166.8B
Michigan Consumer Expectations Index	Bearish change	51.5	45.8
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index	Bearish change	51.7	47.8
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations	Bullish change	4%	4.6%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation	Bullish change	3.3%	3.4%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	0.1%	0.4%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)	(no change)	3.4%	3.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)	Bullish change	0.2%	0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)	Bearish change	2.5%	2.4%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bearish change	-1.7%	-2%
Initial Jobless Claims	Bullish change	207K	206K
Producer Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	0.1%	0.4%
Producer Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	4.8%	5.4%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)	Bearish change	0.3%	0.2%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)	Bullish change	4.3%	4.6%
ADP Employment Change 4-week average	Bullish change	10K	12K
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)	Bullish change	0.2%	0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)	Bearish change	3.2%	3.1%
Labor Force Participation Rate	Bullish change	61.4%	61.6%
Nonfarm Payrolls	Bullish change	21K	162K
U6 Underemployment Rate	Bullish change	7.9%	7.7%
Unemployment Rate	(no change)	4.1%	4.1%

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:	United States
Currency:	USD
Source:	US Census Bureau
Category:	Consumption
Frequency:	Monthly

Related events

	Australia		Retail Sales s.a. (MoM)
	Australia		Trimmed Mean CPI (YoY)
	China		Retail Sales (YoY)
	Germany		Retail Sales (YoY)
	Eurozone		Retail Sales (YoY)
	New Zealand		Retail Sales (QoQ)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales (MoM)
	United States		Retail Sales Control Group
	Australia		Westpac Consumer Confidence
	Australia		Retail Sales (QoQ)
	Australia		Trimmed Mean CPI (MoM)
	Australia		Consumer Price Index (MoM)
	Canada		Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)
	Canada		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Switzerland		Real Retail Sales (YoY)
	Germany		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Germany		Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey
	Eurozone		Consumer Confidence
	Eurozone		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Indonesia		Consumer Confidence
	Japan		Large Retailer Sales
	Japan		Retail Trade s.a (MoM)
	Japan		Retail Trade (YoY)
	New Zealand		ANZ – Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence
	New Zealand		Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ)
	New Zealand		Westpac Consumer Survey
	United Kingdom		BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)
	United Kingdom		GfK Consumer Confidence
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales (YoY)
	United States		Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
	United States		Consumer Confidence
	United States		UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations
	United States		Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)
	United States		UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation
	United States		Michigan Consumer Expectations Index
	United States		Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)
	United States		Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)
	United States		Personal Spending

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Retail Sales (MoM)

Most recent - Wednesday 16 September 2026 12:30

Trading range

Trading range after each Retail Sales (MoM) event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Related events