Unemployment Rate

The Unemployment Rate released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is a percentage that surges from dividing the number of unemployed workers by the total civilian labor force. It represents the percentage of people actively seeking employment and willing to work. Usually, as a higher rate is seen in recessionary economies, while on the ​contrary, a growing economy sees its unemployment rate decreasing. Therefore, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish), although by itself, the number can't determinate the markets move as it depends on the headline reading, the Nonfarm Payroll.

Most recent - Friday 10 January 2025 13:30

Previous
4.2%
Revised
-
Forecast
4.2%
Actual
4.1%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Friday 7 February 2025 13:30

Previous
4.1%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Unemployment Rate yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Unemployment Rate was 4.1% against a forecast of 4.2%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 10 January 2025 13:30
4.2%
4.1%
Friday 6 December 2024 13:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 1 November 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.1%
Friday 4 October 2024 12:30
4.2%
4.1%
Friday 6 September 2024 12:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 2 August 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.3%
Friday 5 July 2024 12:30
4%
4.1%
Friday 7 June 2024 12:30
3.9%
4%
Friday 3 May 2024 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 5 April 2024 12:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 8 March 2024 13:30
3.7%
3.9%
Friday 2 February 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 5 January 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 8 December 2023 13:30
3.9%
3.7%
Friday 3 November 2023 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 6 October 2023 12:30
3.7%
3.8%
Friday 1 September 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.8%
Friday 4 August 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 7 July 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.6%
Friday 2 June 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 May 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.4%
Friday 7 April 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 10 March 2023 13:30
3.4%
3.6%
Friday 3 February 2023 13:30
3.6%
3.4%
Friday 6 January 2023 13:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 December 2022 13:30
3.7%
3.7%
Friday 4 November 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.7%
Friday 7 October 2022 12:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 September 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 August 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 8 July 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.6%
Friday 3 June 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.6%
Friday 6 May 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.6%
Friday 1 April 2022 12:30
3.7%
3.6%
Friday 4 March 2022 13:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 4 February 2022 13:30
3.9%
4%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment Rate result:

PreviousLatest
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.9%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.493M1.483M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.294M1.499M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change203K217K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change-10.944.3
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.8%0.4%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change0.4%0.7%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.9%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.3%3.2%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change2.1-12.6
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-367B$-87B
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3%3.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change3.4%3.5%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change7473.2
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change4%3.9%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.5%62.5%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change212K256K
U6 Underemployment RateBullish change7.7%7.5%
Challenger Job CutsBearish change57.727K38.792K
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change211K201K
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change146K122K
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change51.551.4
ISM Services New Orders IndexBullish change53.754.2
ISM Services PMIBullish change52.154.1
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change58.264.4
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.839M8.098M
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change0.5%-0.4%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change56.655.4

About Unemployment Rate

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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