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Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)

The Average Earing Including Bonus released by the National Statistics is a key short-term indicator of how levels of pay are changing within the UK economy. Generally speaking, the positive earnings growth anticipates positive (or bullish) for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Tuesday 18 February 2025 07:00

Previous
5.6%
Revised
-
Forecast
5.9%
Actual
6%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.

Next event - Thursday 20 March 2025 07:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr) was 6% against a forecast of 5.9%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 18 February 2025 07:00
5.9%
6%
Tuesday 21 January 2025 07:00
5.6%
5.6%
Tuesday 17 December 2024 07:00
4.6%
5.2%
Tuesday 12 November 2024 07:00
3.9%
4.3%
Tuesday 15 October 2024 06:00
3.8%
3.8%
Tuesday 10 September 2024 06:00
4.1%
4%
Tuesday 13 August 2024 06:00
-
4.5%
Thursday 18 July 2024 06:00
5.7%
5.7%
Tuesday 11 June 2024 06:00
5.7%
5.9%
Tuesday 14 May 2024 06:00
5.3%
5.7%
Tuesday 16 April 2024 06:00
5.5%
5.6%
Tuesday 12 March 2024 07:00
5.7%
5.6%
Tuesday 13 February 2024 07:00
5.6%
5.8%
Tuesday 16 January 2024 07:00
6.8%
6.5%
Tuesday 12 December 2023 07:00
7.7%
7.2%
Tuesday 14 November 2023 07:00
7.4%
7.9%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 06:00
8.3%
8.1%
Tuesday 12 September 2023 06:00
8.2%
8.5%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 06:00
7.3%
8.2%
Tuesday 11 July 2023 06:00
6.8%
6.9%
Tuesday 13 June 2023 06:00
6.1%
6.5%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 06:00
5.1%
5.8%
Tuesday 18 April 2023 06:00
5.1%
5.9%
Tuesday 14 March 2023 07:00
5.7%
5.7%
Tuesday 14 February 2023 07:00
6.2%
5.9%
Tuesday 17 January 2023 07:00
6.1%
6.4%
Tuesday 13 December 2022 07:00
6.2%
6.1%
Tuesday 15 November 2022 07:00
6%
6%
Tuesday 11 October 2022 06:00
5.9%
6%
Tuesday 13 September 2022 06:00
5.2%
5.5%
Tuesday 16 August 2022 06:00
4.5%
5.1%
Tuesday 19 July 2022 06:00
6.9%
6.2%
Tuesday 14 June 2022 06:00
7.6%
6.8%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 06:00
5.4%
7%
Tuesday 12 April 2022 06:00
5.4%
5.4%
Tuesday 15 March 2022 07:00
4.6%
4.8%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr) result:

PreviousLatest
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMIBearish change50.650.5
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMIBearish change48.346.4
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMIBullish change50.951.1
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-0.6%1.7%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change2.8%1%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)Bullish change-0.9%2.1%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)Bearish change2.1%1.2%
GfK Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-22-20
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%-0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.5%3%
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.2%3.7%
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.aBullish change0%0.3%
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a Bearish change1.6%1.5%
Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) n.s.aBullish change-0.2%0.5%
Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) n.s.aBullish change-0.1%0.3%
Retail Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%-0.1%
Retail Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.5%3.6%
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bullish change5.6%5.9%
Claimant Count ChangeBearish change-15.1K22K
Claimant Count RateBearish change4.5%4.6%
Employment Change (3M)Bullish change35K107K
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)(no change)4.4%4.4%
Gross Domestic Product (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.4%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change0%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bullish change1%1.4%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.5%0.5%
Manufacturing Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.3%0.7%
BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change3.1%2.5%

About Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)

Country:United Kingdom
Currency:GBP
Source:Office for National Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly

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