Unemployment Rate

The Unemployment Rate released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is a percentage that surges from dividing the number of unemployed workers by the total civilian labor force. It represents the percentage of people actively seeking employment and willing to work. Usually, as a higher rate is seen in recessionary economies, while on the ​contrary, a growing economy sees its unemployment rate decreasing. Therefore, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish), although by itself, the number can't determinate the markets move as it depends on the headline reading, the Nonfarm Payroll.

Most recent - Friday 7 February 2025 13:30

Previous
4.1%
Revised
-
Forecast
4.1%
Actual
4%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Friday 7 March 2025 13:30

Previous
4%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Unemployment Rate yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Unemployment Rate was 4% against a forecast of 4.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 7 February 2025 13:30
4.1%
4%
Friday 10 January 2025 13:30
4.2%
4.1%
Friday 6 December 2024 13:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 1 November 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.1%
Friday 4 October 2024 12:30
4.2%
4.1%
Friday 6 September 2024 12:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 2 August 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.3%
Friday 5 July 2024 12:30
4%
4.1%
Friday 7 June 2024 12:30
3.9%
4%
Friday 3 May 2024 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 5 April 2024 12:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 8 March 2024 13:30
3.7%
3.9%
Friday 2 February 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 5 January 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 8 December 2023 13:30
3.9%
3.7%
Friday 3 November 2023 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 6 October 2023 12:30
3.7%
3.8%
Friday 1 September 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.8%
Friday 4 August 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 7 July 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.6%
Friday 2 June 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 May 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.4%
Friday 7 April 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 10 March 2023 13:30
3.4%
3.6%
Friday 3 February 2023 13:30
3.6%
3.4%
Friday 6 January 2023 13:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 December 2022 13:30
3.7%
3.7%
Friday 4 November 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.7%
Friday 7 October 2022 12:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 September 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 August 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 8 July 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.6%
Friday 3 June 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.6%
Friday 6 May 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.6%
Friday 1 April 2022 12:30
3.7%
3.6%
Friday 4 March 2022 13:30
3.9%
3.8%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment Rate result:

PreviousLatest
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change2.9%-4.9%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change67.864.7
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3.3%3.5%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change52.750.4
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change51.251.6
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change52.949.7
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change214K219K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change44.318.1
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.482M1.483M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.515M1.366M
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-12.65.7
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change1%0.5%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.7%-0.9%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.8%-0.8%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.7%-0.4%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change220K213K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0.4%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.3%3.5%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.7%3.6%
Monthly Budget StatementBearish change$-87B$-129B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.5%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.9%3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change3.2%3.3%

About Unemployment Rate

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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