Employment Cost Index

The Employment Cost Index (ECI), released by US Bureau of Labour Statistics, is a quarterly measure of the change in the price of labor, defined as compensation per employee hour worked. Closely watched by many economists, the ECI is an indicator of cost pressures within companies that could lead to price inflation for finished goods and services. The index measures changes in the cost of compensation not only for wages and salaries, but also for an extensive list of benefits.

Most recent - Thursday 31 October 2024 12:30

Previous
0.9%
Revised
-
Forecast
0.9%
Actual
0.8%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Employment Cost Index was 0.8% against a forecast of 0.9%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 31 October 2024 12:30
0.9%
0.8%
Wednesday 31 July 2024 12:30
1%
0.9%
Tuesday 30 April 2024 12:30
1%
1.2%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 13:30
1%
0.9%
Tuesday 31 October 2023 12:30
1%
1.1%
Friday 28 July 2023 12:30
1.1%
1%
Friday 28 April 2023 12:30
1.1%
1.2%
Tuesday 31 January 2023 13:30
1.1%
1%
Friday 28 October 2022 12:30
1.2%
1.2%
Friday 29 July 2022 12:30
1.2%
1.3%
Friday 29 April 2022 12:30
1.1%
1.4%
Friday 28 January 2022 13:30
1.2%
1%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Employment Cost Index result:

PreviousLatest
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.1%2.3%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.6%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.6%0.4%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change7.5%2%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change41.640.2
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change2.2%2.1%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-0.4%0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-0.9%0.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.4%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized(no change)2.8%2.8%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change1.8%1.9%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.3%-0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)1.5%1.5%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change215K213K
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change7%-17.3%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.7%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change7371.8
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3.1%3.2%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.155.3
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change48.548.8
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change5557
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-1.3%3.4%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change219K213K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change10.3-5.5
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.425M-0.6M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.353M1.311M
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.5%-0.3%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-11.931.2
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.8%0.4%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change1.2%-0.1%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change1%0.1%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change221K217K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change1.9%2.4%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.9%3.1%

About Employment Cost Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Quarterly
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