UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation

The University of Michigan's Survey of Consumers includes a long-run, five-year, inflation expectation component that the Fed uses when calculating its quarterly Index of Common Inflation Expectations.

Most recent - Friday 13 September 2024 14:00

Previous
3%
Forecast
-
Actual
3.1%

Next event - Friday 27 September 2024 14:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation was 3.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 13 September 2024 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 30 August 2024 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 16 August 2024 14:00
-
3%
Friday 26 July 2024 14:00
2.9%
3%
Friday 12 July 2024 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 28 June 2024 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 14 June 2024 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 24 May 2024 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 10 May 2024 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 26 April 2024 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 12 April 2024 14:00
-
3%
Thursday 28 March 2024 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 15 March 2024 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 1 March 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 16 February 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 2 February 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 19 January 2024 15:00
-
2.8%
Friday 22 December 2023 15:00
2.8%
2.9%
Friday 8 December 2023 15:00
-
2.8%
Wednesday 22 November 2023 15:00
3.2%
3.2%
Friday 10 November 2023 15:00
-
3.2%
Friday 27 October 2023 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 13 October 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 September 2023 14:00
2.7%
2.8%
Friday 15 September 2023 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 25 August 2023 14:00
2.9%
3%
Friday 11 August 2023 14:00
3%
2.9%
Friday 28 July 2023 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 14 July 2023 14:00
3.1%
3.1%
Friday 30 June 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 16 June 2023 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 26 May 2023 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 12 May 2023 14:00
-
3.2%
Friday 28 April 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 14 April 2023 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 31 March 2023 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 17 March 2023 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 24 February 2023 15:00
2.9%
2.9%
Friday 10 February 2023 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 27 January 2023 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 13 January 2023 15:00
-
3%
Friday 23 December 2022 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 9 December 2022 15:00
-
3%
Wednesday 23 November 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 11 November 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 28 October 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 14 October 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 30 September 2022 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 16 September 2022 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 26 August 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 12 August 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 July 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 15 July 2022 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 24 June 2022 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 10 June 2022 14:00
-
3.3%
Friday 27 May 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 13 May 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 April 2022 14:00
-
3%
Thursday 14 April 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 25 March 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 11 March 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 25 February 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 11 February 2022 15:00
-
3.1%
Friday 28 January 2022 15:00
-
3.1%
Friday 14 January 2022 15:00
-
3.1%
Thursday 23 December 2021 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 10 December 2021 15:00
-
3%
Wednesday 24 November 2021 15:00
-
3%
Friday 12 November 2021 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 29 October 2021 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 15 October 2021 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 1 October 2021 14:00
-
3%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation result:

PreviousLatest
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change1.5%-2.5%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change231K219K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change-71.7
Fed Interest Rate DecisionBearish change5.5%5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBearish change4.1%3.4%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBearish change3.1%2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd year(no change)2.9%2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - CurrentBearish change5.1%4.4%
Interest Rate Projections - LongerBullish change2.8%2.9%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.406M1.475M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.237M1.356M
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.6%0.8%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change1.1%0.1%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.4%0.3%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.1%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-4.711.5
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change67.969
Monthly Budget StatementBearish change$-244B$-380B
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change228K230K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.1%1.7%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.3%2.4%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.9%2.5%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)(no change)3.2%3.2%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bullish change3.6%3.8%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.7%62.7%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change89K142K
U6 Underemployment RateBearish change7.8%7.9%
Unemployment RateBullish change4.3%4.2%

About UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:University of Michigan
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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