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Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)

The Retail Sales ex-fuel released by the National Statistics is a measure of changes in sales of the British retail sector excluding fuel. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Pound, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Friday 21 February 2025 07:00

Previous
-0.9%
Revised
-0.9%
Forecast
0.9%
Actual
2.1%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.

Next event - Friday 28 March 2025 07:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM) was 2.1% against a forecast of 0.9%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 21 February 2025 07:00
0.9%
2.1%
Friday 17 January 2025 07:00
0.1%
-0.6%
Friday 20 December 2024 07:00
0%
0.3%
Friday 22 November 2024 07:00
-0.4%
-0.9%
Friday 18 October 2024 06:00
-0.3%
0.3%
Friday 20 September 2024 06:00
0.5%
1.1%
Friday 16 August 2024 06:00
0.8%
0.7%
Friday 19 July 2024 06:00
-0.5%
-1.5%
Friday 21 June 2024 06:00
1.3%
2.9%
Friday 24 May 2024 06:00
-0.6%
-2%
Friday 19 April 2024 06:00
-
-0.3%
Friday 22 March 2024 07:00
-0.1%
0.2%
Friday 16 February 2024 07:00
1.7%
3.2%
Friday 19 January 2024 07:00
-0.6%
-3.3%
Friday 22 December 2023 07:00
0.4%
1.3%
Friday 17 November 2023 07:00
0.4%
-0.1%
Friday 20 October 2023 06:00
-0.4%
-1%
Friday 22 September 2023 06:00
0.6%
0.6%
Friday 18 August 2023 06:00
-0.7%
-1.4%
Friday 21 July 2023 06:00
0.1%
0.8%
Friday 23 June 2023 06:00
-0.3%
0.1%
Friday 26 May 2023 06:00
0.3%
0.8%
Friday 21 April 2023 06:00
-0.7%
-1%
Friday 24 March 2023 07:00
0.1%
1.5%
Friday 17 February 2023 07:00
0%
0.4%
Friday 20 January 2023 07:00
0.4%
-1.1%
Friday 16 December 2022 07:00
0.3%
-0.3%
Friday 18 November 2022 07:00
0.6%
0.3%
Friday 21 October 2022 06:00
-0.3%
-1.5%
Friday 16 September 2022 06:00
-0.7%
-1.6%
Friday 19 August 2022 06:00
-0.2%
0.4%
Friday 22 July 2022 06:00
-0.4%
0.4%
Friday 24 June 2022 06:00
-1%
-0.7%
Friday 20 May 2022 06:00
-0.2%
1.4%
Friday 22 April 2022 06:00
-0.4%
-1.1%
Friday 25 March 2022 07:00
0.5%
-0.7%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMIBearish change50.650.5
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMIBearish change48.346.4
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMIBullish change50.951.1
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-0.6%1.7%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change2.8%1%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)Bearish change2.1%1.2%
GfK Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-22-20
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%-0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.5%3%
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.2%3.7%
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.aBullish change0%0.3%
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a Bearish change1.6%1.5%
Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) n.s.aBullish change-0.2%0.5%
Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) n.s.aBullish change-0.1%0.3%
Retail Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%-0.1%
Retail Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.5%3.6%
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bullish change5.6%5.9%
Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bullish change5.6%6%
Claimant Count ChangeBearish change-15.1K22K
Claimant Count RateBearish change4.5%4.6%
Employment Change (3M)Bullish change35K107K
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)(no change)4.4%4.4%
Gross Domestic Product (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.4%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change0%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bullish change1%1.4%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.5%0.5%
Manufacturing Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.3%0.7%
BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change3.1%2.5%

About Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)

Country:United Kingdom
Currency:GBP
Source:Office for National Statistics
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly

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