Retail Sales (MoM)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

Most recent - Friday 14 February 2025 13:30

Previous
0.7%
Revised
0.7%
Forecast
-0.1%
Actual
-0.9%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Monday 17 March 2025 12:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was -0.9% against a forecast of -0.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 14 February 2025 13:30
-0.1%
-0.9%
Thursday 16 January 2025 13:30
0.6%
0.4%
Tuesday 17 December 2024 13:30
0.5%
0.7%
Friday 15 November 2024 13:30
0.3%
0.4%
Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30
0.3%
0.4%
Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30
-0.2%
0.1%
Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30
0.3%
1%
Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30
0%
0%
Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.1%
Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30
0.4%
0%
Monday 15 April 2024 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
0.8%
0.6%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
-0.1%
-0.8%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
0.4%
0.6%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
-0.3%
-0.1%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.7%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
0.5%
0.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30
0.7%
0.4%
Friday 14 April 2023 12:30
-0.4%
-1%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
-0.3%
-0.4%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
1.8%
3%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
-0.8%
-1.1%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
-0.1%
-0.6%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30
1%
1.3%
Friday 14 October 2022 12:30
0.2%
0%
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
0%
0.3%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30
0.1%
0%
Friday 15 July 2022 12:30
0.8%
1%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 12:30
0.2%
-0.3%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 12:30
0.7%
0.9%
Thursday 14 April 2022 12:30
0.6%
0.5%
Wednesday 16 March 2022 12:30
0.4%
0.3%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change2.9%-4.9%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change67.864.7
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3.3%3.5%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change52.750.4
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change51.251.6
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change52.949.7
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change214K219K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change44.318.1
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.482M1.483M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.515M1.366M
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-12.65.7
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change1%0.5%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.8%-0.8%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.7%-0.4%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change220K213K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0.4%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.3%3.5%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.7%3.6%
Monthly Budget StatementBearish change$-87B$-129B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.5%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.9%3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change3.2%3.3%

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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